What a load of old tosh from detractors of OnTheMarket.

I don’t mind when agents give a well-reasoned approach as to why they don’t want to have their own portal, but to state – as Richard Rawlings did – that  the ‘one other portal only’ rule is responsible for the downturn of the housing market appears poorly argued and illogical.

The case presented was that people will look at Zoopla or Rightmove but rarely both – based on Nielsen research from three years ago.

The gist of the detractors’ argument is that because many agents have swapped from Zoopla to OnTheMarket, househunters aren’t looking at all three portals, so are missing out on Zoopla listings – and giving up on their housing dreams.

However, the entire argument rests on nothing more than a fundamental and wholly unsupported assumption that Rightmove and Zoopla continue to offer the same 75% coverage of available properties and that consumer search activity is split 50/50 between Rightmove and Zoopla. No evidence is provided that this unlikely proposition has ever been the case.

There are so many other flaws in the detractors’ argument: it does not mention socio-economic reasons, fears over pending Tax Credit changes, the impact of estate agents’ own websites, High Street presence, the rise of internet agents, marketing campaigns, spiralling property prices and dozens of other factors that influence people’s purchasing decisions.

The detractors also cited a reduction in portal traffic in August/September of 2015, a 29% reduction compared to the same period last year. Yet portal market leaders Rightmove say they had more than 1.4bn page views each month during this summer, smashing their 2014 records. That doesn’t sound to me like people have switched to looking at only OnTheMarket, are also now ignoring Zoopla and have been short-changed in the property stakes.

When referring to research, it is really important to understand how many were in the sample group, when it was undertaken, how many were just browsing, how many were intending to sell, how often did they go online, why didn’t they shop around, what marketing campaigns were being conducted by the two portals in question, did they view property ads in the local paper and in branch windows. Again, so many variables that can influence research and there are many more.

Research we have seen shows that the number of people searching for the term ‘Rightmove’ has remained fairly constant for the last three years, yet the number of people searching for the term ‘estate agents’ has fallen considerably, indicating, either a downward trend that started long before the introduction of OnTheMarket; or, that property portals have become the first port of call for many.

It certainly appears to be the case that searches for the term ‘Zoopla’ have fallen considerably while OnTheMarket’s search engine visibility continues to grow and Zoopla could well find they are squeezed as more and more agents come on board.

I totally understand that many agents are risk averse or prefer to wait in the wings to see how things pan out.

But OnTheMarket appears here to stay, is not going away, and is only going to get bigger and stronger. And that is, in my opinion, a fact.

 

Reading between the Countrywide lines

In announcing an 11% slump in operating profits for the first 9 months of the year compared to last year, did Countrywide blame OnTheMarket? Funnily enough, no.

It cited Stamp Duty reforms for constraining moves at the upper end of the market as one likely factor. Unsurprisingly, given the number of senior departures, financial analysts pointed to management weakness.

However, if I were a Countrywide estate agent I’d be more alarmed right now about what the group is planning to do about getting profits back on track. New CEO Alison Platt announced to investors on October 12 that the group is planning to ‘invest in or acquire’ a digital startup with tech and human capability – and stated they are ‘a long way down the line’ with this project.

Two days later, chief digital officer Alex Bailes provided further detail revealing at the PropTech conference that what customers really want is not online or traditional but ‘somewhere in between, in the hybrid space’. Six days later, it was announced he was leaving the business.

So what’s going on? Is the game plan to ditch the high street branches completely and offer end-to-end transactional support for customers via an online login, but with the added value of local estate agents on the road supported by a call centre?

Or is the idea to merely offer a cheaper alternative, so people can obtain the same service but choose to use their high street agent or the online version, if they prefer?

Because if that is the case, I am probably one of very few people who can speak from personal experience that it simply won’t work.

Many people will remember I invested millions of pounds in setting up a hybrid estate agency called iSold, partnered by Tesco. It was unprofitable and, ultimately, unworkable.

I really respect Countrywide and have built my own business on a similar model. Countrywide were once the most profitable and respected true estate agents in the UK.

My plea to them is please don’t mess things up. If you pitch yourself as a direct competitor with yourself, hoping to appeal to two ends of the market, it will be a disaster waiting to happen.

What do Countrywide’s estate agents think will happen to its customer base when they are offered a cheaper alternative for accessing the same service? Which one will become the poor relation?

Set us straight, Countrywide.

Reveal your intentions.

You don’t owe it to me, but you certainly owe it to your own branch network, who will undoubtedly want to understand what a hybrid approach will mean for them.