Just over 42% of agents who answered Eye’s independent survey have already committed to OnTheMarket, the new Agents’ Mutual portal that launches next month.

However, almost 58% have not committed.

The potentially disruptive nature of Agents’ Mutual can be revealed in the results of our survey which closed at midnight and which we estimate represents at least 10% of the whole industry.

The question about commitment to OnTheMarket was answered by 1,094 estate and letting agency businesses representing in aggregate a very much larger number of branches.

While 461 of these businesses said they had already committed, 57.86% (633 agents) said they had not committed to OnTheMarket.

This figure of 633 includes 106 who have “not yet decided”.

Were these “floating voters” to decide to go with OnTheMarket, then we calculate the new portal could have up to 51.82% market share.

Based on 20,000 branches (the total agency market), that would mean that 10,364 branches would list with OnTheMarket – and, we assume, with one other portal – leaving 9,636 non-OnTheMarket branches as the remaining battleground.

Of course, we should put some caveats on this number. First, we need to bear in mind the 5,000 target that Agents’ Mutual has set itself by launch. Second, extrapolating the results of our survey across the industry does not take into account the large number of branches owned by the corporates, who are highly unlikely to move from Rightmove and Zoopla.

Committed to OTM