A City analyst has sent out a note to investors after the property trade press reported that ‘hundreds’ of agents are claimed to have contacted an industry consultant about quitting OnTheMarket.

William Packer, of Exane BNP Paribas, said in his note: “We see the news as a small positive for Zoopla … but we caution on any imminent major shift of membership back from AM [Agents’ Mutual] to Zoopla.”

Packer included in his note a link to Estate Agent Today’s story.

The industry consultant concerned is Iain White, whose Linked In profile names Choices as one of the agents that he advises.

Choices, whose chairman is Simon Shinerock, advertises widely on Zoopla.

White has also been involved in an online agent. We carried the story here

In Packer’s note of yesterday evening, the analyst said: “While details remain somewhat vague, those ‘action group’ agents we believe had typically chosen or are considering leaving Agents Mutual and were facing legal action for reneging on the terms of their contract.

“As a reminder, Agents Mutual members had (usually) signed a 5-year contract and committed (always) to the ‘one other portal’ rule.

“The market has responded positively with Zoopla shares up c.5% this week. We see the news as a small positive for Zoopla with the news suggesting AM momentum is slowing and AM management may become distracted by the growing controversy.

“However, we caution on any imminent major shift of membership back to Zoopla.”

Packer’s note said that only a minority of OTM agents had so far joined any action, and that the timeframe could take months, if not years.

Packer’s note to investors adds: “We are a year into launch of Agents Mutual and our wide network of estate agent contacts suggest that the commercial impact of leaving Zoopla has proven somewhat limited for estate agents, thus reducing the incentive of those agents to return to the Zoopla platform (whether they leave AM or not).

“For example, on the sales side of the industry we argue Zoopla has not been a key factor in winning or losing vendor instructions in many geographies – a key reason why agents have not returned.

“On the lettings side we see Zoopla’s impressive lead generation as a more critical factor in agent decision making. We do not see these dynamics changing because of potential internal issues at OTM.”

Packer’s note continues: “While the story has been well covered in the trade press, Agents Mutual have offered limited comment on the story.”

He says that a key area of dissatisfaction concerns the £50 offer of membership to some agents, but says there is “much uncertainty” around this.

Other analysts who have commented on the situation are Credit Suisse and Jefferies, which both raise the possibility of OTM now ending its ‘one other portal’ rule.

EYE has, as of yesterday, seen documented evidence of the £50 offer.

EYE also points out that our story of yesterday was fully subject to vetting by Iain White.

We agreed to this, as it was made clear that these were the only terms available to us for access to the story without legal action, and we judged that the need to enter this into our readers’ arena was paramount.

We acknowledge that this was a very difficult point to call, and that some readers may not have agreed. Today’s story is not similarly subject.